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Albanian Economy - Macroeconomic Data

 

Table 1. Main MacroEconomic Indicators

 

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

Growth of real GDP (%)

9.1

-10.3

12.7

8.9

7.7

6.5

4.7

6.0

GDP (in current prices, millions of ALL)

315,835

333,071

425,488

488,611

551,282

590,237

658,062

744,974

GDP (in current prices , millions of USD)

3022.3

2236.9

2824.4

3548.4

3836.3

4113.7

4695.4

6027.3

GDP per capita (USD)

920.6

672.9

842.1

1052.0

1128.0

1332.6

1521.0

1934.9

Number of employees (in thousands)

1116.0

1107.0

1103.0

1081.0

1068.0

1065.0

921.0

928.0

Unemployment rate (%)

12.4

14.9

17.8

18.0

16.9

14.6

15.8

15.0

Inflation rate

17.4

42.1

8.7

-1.0

4.2

3.5

2.1

3.3

Budget deficit (free of grants, as % of GDP)

-11.4

-13.2

-11.4

-12.1

-9.2

-8.2

-6.9

-5.6

Public debt (% of GDP)

30.7

36.2

36.2

37.4

42.6

39.5

38.8

38.0

Current account (free of official transfers, as % of GDP)

-3.6

-12.2

-7.1

-7.9

-7.4

-6.2

-9.0

-6.7

Foreign debt (as % of GDP)

29.2

35.6

36.9

32.3

31.8

28.2

24.4

23.3

Foreign exchange rate ALL/USD

104.5

148.9

150.6

137.7

143.7

143.5

140.1

121.9

Average exchange rate ALL/Euro

-

-

-

-

132.58

128.47

132.36

137.51

Source: Institution of Statistics (INSTAT), Ministry of Finance, IMF estimates and Bank of Albania

 

Table 2. Domestic Production Decomposed by Economic Sectors

Sectors

2001

2002

2003

Agriculture

26.0

25.4

24.7

Industry

10.8

10.5

10.2

Construction

8.3

8.6

9.1

Services

45.7

45.9

46.1

Transportation

9.1

9.6

10.0

Source: Ministry of Finance

 

Table 3. Sales Growth of Selected Economic Sectors (in %)

Activity

Q1-03 /
Q1-02

Q2-03 /
Q2-02

Q3-03 /
Q3-02

2003 /
2002

Total industrial change

25.48

15.87

13.84

17.92

Mining and oil industry

54.77

77.04

101.83

77.50

Metal processing industry

20.55

24.50

7.57

16.76

Energy, gas and water industry

28.76

-11.42

14.09

9.94

Construction

2.96

3.89

22.9

10.69

Trade, hotels and restaurants

18.32

17.2

3.7

12.27

Transport and telecommunications

-16.60

5.43

5.25

-1.18

Other services

28.08

-4.13

-8.3

3.90

TOTAL SALES GROWTH

14.38

12.59

8.4

11.51

Source: Institute of Statistics

 

Table 4. Labor Market: main Indicators (in thousands of persons)

 

2001

2002

2003

Q. 1

Q. 2

Q. 3

Q. 4

Q. 1

Q. 2

Q. 3

Q. 4

Q. 1

Q. 2

Q. 3

Q. 4

Labor supply

1277

1263

1256

1247

1096

1093

1094

1094

1096

1093

1092

1091

A. Employed persons

1072

1071

1069

1065

918

917

919

921

926

927

928

927

1. public sector

195

194

192

191

189

188

187

187

185

185

184

182

2. private non-agricultural sector

116

116

116

113

203

203

206

208

207

208

210

211

3. private agricultural sector

761

761

761

761

526

526

526

526

534

534

534

534

B. Unemployed persons

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1. total unemployed persons

205

192

187

182

178

176

175

173

170

166

164

164

2. receivers of unemployment benefits

21

18

16

15

13

13

12

11

11

11

11

11

C. Unemployment rate (%)

16.0

15.2

14.9

14.6

16.2

16.1

16.0

15.8

15.5

15.2

15.0

15.0

Source: Institute of Statistics

 

Table 5. Fiscal Indicators as Percentage of GDP

 

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

Total revenues

24.1

23.4

16.3

17.0

22.0

22.0

21.9

23.0

22.9

22.4

- Tax revenues

16.0

13.2

10.7

9.8

12.3

12.9

15.6

15.6

15.7

19.6

Total expenditures

33.1

33.6

31.3

27.7

30.2

33.3

30.9

31.5

29.1

26.9

- Capital expenditures

3.4

8.3

4.9

4.2

5.7

5.8

6.6

7.4

5.6

4.1

Budget deficit

-9.0

-10.2

-11.4

-13.2

-11.3

-11.3

-9.1

-8.6

-6.2

-4.4

- Domestic finances

8.6

6.5

9.0

11.3

6.5

5.0

5.4

4.8

3.2

3.2

- Foreign finances

0.4

3.7

2.4

1.9

4.8

6.3

3.7

3.8

3.0

1.2

Source: Ministry of Finance

 

Table 6. Historical Structure of the Budget Revenues (%)

 

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

Realization
2003

Total revenues

100

100

100

100

100

100

93

- Tax revenues

59.9

60.0

68.6

66.2

66.7

65.0

94

- VAT

30.8

27.7

31.6

30.4

30.6

30.3

93

- Income tax

4.6

5.6

6.7

7.6

8.1

7.9

101

- Excise tax

5.3

6.5

7.6

7.0

6.2

7.3

106

- Small business tax

1.0

1.1

1.4

1.5

1.7

1.8

96

- Personal income tax

1.2

2.9

3.8

4.6

4.1

3.8

86

- National tax

3.3

3.7

4.8

5.1

6.7

7.3

87

- Customs tax

13.5

10.7

11.2

9.4

8.9

8.3

94

- Revenues from local governments

0.8

0.8

1.1

1.5

1.8

5.0

103

- Social contribution

16.9

16.9

16.6

16.6

17.0

17.2

94

- Non-tax revenues

22.2

22.1

13.7

15.6

14.6

11.3

86

Source: Ministry of Finance

 

Table 7. Attained Level of the Projected Expenditures for 2003 (%)

 

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

Plan 2003

Total expenses

100

100

100

100

100

100

89.6

- Current expenses

82.9

79.1

78.1

76.0

80.6

84.8

100.7

- Personnel

20.0

18.8

19.5

22.2

21.9

22.4

96.6

- Interest

25.3

21.1

17.3

13.0

12.9

14.9

110.3

- Social security

17.2

20.5

21.9

23.6

24.2

22.4

99.5

- Capital expenses

17.1

20.6

21.3

23.2

19.4

15.2

61.8

Source: Ministry of Finance

 

Table 8. Annual Inflation Rate (%)

 

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

January

6.0

-1.3

2.2

6.5

0.0

February

3.5

-1.3

1.5

7.6

1.1

March

2.0

-2.1

2.9

7.5

1.3

April

0.4

-1.4

3.0

6.5

2.3

May

-0.1

-0.1

2.5

4.6

2.8

June

-0.6

0.1

4.0

3.7

2.6

July

0.1

-1.3

5.6

4.2

3.0

August

-0.6

-0.7

4.1

5.5

3.0

September

-1.9

0.9

3.5

5.3

2.8

October

-1.8

1.8

1.8

5.8

2.9

November

-1.2

1.9

2.8

3.7

3.4

December

-1.0

4.2

3.5

1.7

3.3

Source: INSTAT

 

Table 9. Contribution of Basket Items (in percentage points)

 

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

January

6.0

-1.3

2.2

6.5

0.0

February

3.5

-1.3

1.5

7.6

1.1

March

2.0

-2.1

2.9

7.5

1.3

April

0.4

-1.4

3.0

6.5

2.3

May

-0.1

-0.1

2.5

4.6

2.8

June

-0.6

0.1

4.0

3.7

2.6

July

0.1

-1.3

5.6

4.2

3.0

August

-0.6

-0.7

4.1

5.5

3.0

September

-1.9

0.9

3.5

5.3

2.8

October

-1.8

1.8

1.8

5.8

2.9

November

-1.2

1.9

2.8

3.7

3.4

December

-1.0

4.2

3.5

1.7

3.3

Source: INSTAT

 

Table 10. Annual Inflation Rate of Main Trading Partners (%)

 

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

Greece

1.2

1.2

1.0

3.5

3.6

3.5

3.3

3.4

3.2

3.1

2.9

Italy

4.2

3.9

3.3

2.9

2.9

2.9

2.7

3.0

2.8

2.8

2.5

 

Table 11. Current Account Items During 2002 and 2003 (USD millions)

 

2001

2002

2003

Change 2003/2002

CURRENT ACCOUNT (1+6)

-217.9

-420.8

-406.7

96.6

1. Goods, services and income (2+5)

-788.7

-1034.0

-1248.6

120.8

1.1. Credit

1000.6

1062.2

1361.6

128.2

1.2. Debit

-1789.2

-2096.2

-2610.3

124.5

2. Goods and services (3+4)

-937.7

-1160.4

-1419.0

122.3

2.1. Credit

838.1

915.3

1166.9

127.5

2.2. Debit

-1775.8

-2075.6

-2585.8

124.6

3. Goods

-1027.0

-1155.1

-1336.3

115.7

3.1. Credit

304.6

330.2

447.2

135.4

3.2. Debit

-1331.6

-1485.4

-1783.5

120.1

4. Services

89.3

-5.2

-82.7

1578.8

4.1. Credit

533.5

585.0

719.7

123.0

4.2. Debit

-444.2

-590.3

-802.4

135.9

5. Income

149.0

126.4

170.3

134.8

5.1. Credit

162.5

146.9

194.8

132.6

5.2. Debit

-13.4

-20.6

-24.4

118.7

6. Current transfers

570.8

613.2

841.9

137.3

6.1. Credit

647.5

671.7

924.2

137.6

6.2. Debit

-76.7

-58.5

-82.3

140.5

 

Table 12. Imports and Exports by Groups of Merchandise

Code

Description

Imports

Exports

Trade balance

0

Live animals, animal products

268.1

18.9

-249.2

1

Prepared food products, beverages, tobacco, etc.

68.8

5.8

-63.0

2

Raw materials

63.7

19.4

-44.3

3

Fuel

158.9

4.9

-154.0

4

Vegetables, animal fat, oil

29.0

0.5

-28.5

5

Chemical products

159.7

2.9

-156.8

6

Manufactured articles

441.0

77.5

-363.4

7

Machinery and equipment

403.4

15.8

-387.5

8

Miscellaneous manufactured articles

264.7

301.5

36.8

 

TOTAL

1857.2

447.2

-1410.0

Source: Ministry of Industry and Energy

 

Table 13. Imports by Trading Partners

Imports

Share on total imports (%)

Annual change (2003/2002)
%

2001

2002

2003

TOTAL

100.0

100.0

100.0

24.9

EU countries ( 15 )

74.2

71.1

68.3

14.5

Italy

31.9

34.7

34.1

17.6

Greece

25.8

21.9

19.8

1.7

Germany

5.8

5.6

5.7

42.8

Southeastern European (SEE) Countries

5.8

7.1

6.1

2.9

Bulgaria

2.0

1.9

2.2

40.8

Bosnia & Herzegovina

0.0

0.0

0.1

83.6

Croatia

1.3

2.2

1.5

-12.2

Former Yugoslavia

0.5

0.8

0.6

-23.8

FYROM (FYR of Macedonia)

1.1

1.1

0.9

-4.8

Romania

0.9

1.1

0.9

-6.1

Turkey

6.2

6.1

6.5

31.4

Russia

1.4

2.6

2.9

46.8

Ukraine

1.1

1.2

2.3

205.0

Other

11.4

11.8

13.9

22.6

 

Table 14. Exports by Trading Partners

Exports 

Share on total exports (%)

Annual change (2003/2002)
%

2001

2002

2003

TOTAL

100.0

100.0

100.0

35.4

EU countries ( 15 )

91.6

92.1

93.3

37.1

Italy

71.2

71.7

74.9

41.4

Greece

13.1

12.8

12.9

35.7

Germany

5.5

5.5

3.4

-16.8

Southeastern European (SEE) Countries
of which:

4.7

3.8

4.3

20.8

Former Yugoslavia

3.1

2.2

2.6

41.7

FYROM (FYR of Macedonia)

1.5

1.5

0.7

-37.1

Other

3.7

4.1

2.4

45.2

 

Table 15. Balance of Payments (USD millions)

  Year:

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

             

Current account

-65.0

-132.9

-163.1

-217.9

-420.8

-406.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exports of goods

208.0

275.1

255.4

304.6

330.2

447.2

Imports of goods

-811.7

-937.9

-1076.4

-1331.6

-1485.4

-1783.5

Trade balance

-603.6

-662.8

-821.0

-1027.0

-1155.1

-1336.3

Services: Credits

86.6

266.7

448.1

533.5

585.0

719.7

Services: Debits

-129.3

-165.4

-430.0

-444.2

-590.3

-802.4

Revenues: Credits

86.1

85.6

115.9

162.5

146.9

194.8

Revenues: Debits

-8.7

-10.3

-9.1

-13.4

-20.6

-24.4

Private transfers free of compensation

421.3

188.4

438.6

542.6

575.0

781.7

Public transfers free of compensation

82.6

165.0

94.4

28.1

38.2

60.3

Capital account

31.1

67.5

78.2

117.8

121.2

157.0

Financial account

16.0

36.8

182.5

109.0

206.9

202.0

Direct investments

45.0

41.2

143.0

207.3

135.0

178.0

Portfolio investments

0.0

0.0

-25.0

-23.0

-36.8

-22.5

Other capitals

-29.0

-4.4

64.5

-86.9

103.4

35.3

Net errors and omissions

69.4

131.3

15.0

136.1

121.3

147.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General balance

59.4

123.5

131.9

145.0

28.6

99.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reserves

-59.9

-123.6

-131.9

-145.0

-28.6

-99.6

Foreign assets

7.9

20.9

19.3

12.0

5.3

11.1

Use of IMF credits and loans

….

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

To receive attention:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net reserves change

-75.9

-97.4

-130.5

-116.2

-109.9

-175.6

Changes due to exchange rate movement

12.6

-26.2

-3.5

1.5

65.0

87.0

Source: Bank of Albania

 

Note: Sources of Information for MacroEconomic Data on Albania are:
Ministry of Finance of Albania , Bank of Albania , INSTAT (Institute of Statistics) , IMF etc...

The use of IMF credits and loans is not included


Excerpts from the Annul Report 2003, published by the Bank of Albania, March 2004.

The data on the real growth of GDP for 1996-2000 are taken from the Institution of Statistics of Albania (INSTAT). For the rest of the years, the respective data are evaluations of Ministry of Finance, IMF, and Bank of Albania.

Nominal GDP is adapted by using the average exchange rate. During 2003, USD has been appreciated on average 13 per cent against ALL .

The employment data correspond to the nine-month period of 2003.


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